The threats sent by the Palestinian resistance factions have notably increased this week. Since the recent aggression on Gaza in last May, the Israeli occupation has been practicing its arbitrary restrictions over the strip; in contrast, the resistance factions still emphasize that the conditions must return as before. They also threatened that if the occupation did not respond to their demands, this might lead to an escalation as they will use rough ways to respond.

Meanwhile, the Palestinian factions called on the Egyptian mediator to comply with their duties to implement the agreements that were done after the recent Israeli aggression, and to force Israel to open the crossings. Moreover, they specifically accused Egypt of failing to implement its responsibilities towards the start of the reconstruction, which aggravated the humanitarian crisis in Gaza, indicating the case of explosion in the Palestinian factions' stance against Egypt that has been practicing the policy of travel pan against the Palestinians.

Those calls come at a time of increased tension in the West Bank, Al-Quds and the 1948 Palestinian occupied territories as a result of the Israeli occupation's attacks in Al-Quds and Al-Masjid Al-Aqsa, and its abusive campaign targeting the prisoners of the "Freedom's Tunnel" operation. Thus, the Palestinians factions, headed by Hamas and Islamic Jihad, confirmed that they will tend to a gradual escalation against the Israeli occupation to force it to respond to their demands as soon as possible.

 

 

 

Analysis and Insight of the Scene:

• A state of integration between Egypt and the Israeli occupation is quite obvious as they work together on tightening the blockade imposed on Gaza, punishing the Gazan families, and pressing on the Palestinian resistance to give up.
• It is clear that the Israeli occupation does not wish the situation on the ground to be aggravated, yet it still exerts efforts to undermine the resistance's capabilities.
• The Israeli occupation seeks not to present itself as a part of the conflict with the Gaza strip, as its commercial crossings are open from and to the strip.
• The Palestinian resistance insists on putting pressure on the Israeli occupation to force it to respond through expanding the popular resistance acts, and activating the disturbing activities along Gaza's fence.
• The Israeli occupation exerts efforts not to start a new confrontation, especially after the recent Operation Al-Quds Sword and the resulting social, political and mental losses, the increased levels of threats at the north, and the destabilized regional situation in general, including Iran and Afghanistan. 

Possible Scenarios:

Based on the abovementioned, it is expected that:

1. Tension might increase between the Palestinian factions and the Israeli occupation if the resistance tended to use popular tools represented in incendiary balloons along the strip. Also, it might use the policy of rockets-dripping without being dragged to a huge military operation leading to a serious military confrontation. This scenario is supported by the intransigence policy of the Israeli occupation, its procrastination to lift the blockade imposed on the strip, and its conspiracy with Egypt and the Palestinian Authority to press on Gaza.
2. The Palestinian resistance might press on the Israeli occupation through carrying out large military acts, including firing rockets intensively in a way that lead to a widespread confrontation. What supports this scenario is the ongoing Israeli blockade imposed on the strip, and Israel's stubbornness to make any compromises or facilitations to the strip. 

In general, all scenarios are possible yet the first one is strengthened by the Israeli occupation and the Palestinian resistance's concerns to delay the coming confrontation as possible. Thus, the development of the situations depends on both sides.