The tension in the field has notably risen the past few days. The resistance factions had given the occupation a certain time limit for it to reverse its punitive measures against the Gaza Strip, but since the time given was over and the occupation did not return the situation to prior May 10, the factions resumed the use of rough methods to exert pressure on the occupation.

  In addition, last Saturday the Palestinian factions held a public demonstration along the eastern fence of the Gaza Strip to commemorate the 52nd anniversary of the burning of Al-Masjid Al-Aqsa. As was expected the occupation's snipers shot over 40 defenseless Palestinians, whose injuries were critical. However, the most dramatic scene was when a Palestinian resistance fighter shot a sniper from a short distance causing him a critical injury.

The occupation's army went wild after the injury of the soldier and raided several places in the Gaza Strip. At the same time, Egypt declared the closure of Rafah Crossing as another punitive measure. Thee resistance immediately responded and amplified the use of rough methods against the occupation and its settlers in the surrounding areas of the Strip. They fired burning and exploding balloons in response to more vengeful bombardment of the Strip by the occupation.

Insight of the Situation:

 The occupation continues to stall and has not lifted the  siege imposed on the Gaza Strip. There seems to be a joint work between the occupation and the Egyptians in surrounding, punishing and exerting pressure on the resistance.

• The occupation does not seem to want to escalate with the Gaza Strip as the pressure on the resistance and its popular supporters continues. The army fears opening fire with the Gaza front at a time when tension exists with other fronts.
• The occupation wants to show itself as not in dispute with the Gaza Strip, and that its crossings from and to Gaza are open; with an increase in the transported goods. It also tries to separate its work from Egypt's closure of Rafah crossings.
• The resistance insists on exerting pressure on the occupation through expanding the popular resistance' work and activation of rough methods along the eastern fence of the Strip. The resistance called for a new event on Wednesday at noon along the eastern fence in Khan Yunus. These events could raise tension between the Gaza Strip and the occupation's forces.
• The occupation has been working on not heading to a new confrontation after the last battle of Al-Quds Sword, especially because of the spiritual, political and social losses it suffered from. The threats have also risen in the north with Hezbollah and the regional situation with Iran and Afghanistan is also unstable.

Possible Scenarios:

1. The controlled engagement between the Palestinian factions and the occupation continue without entering a military operation that pushes violent responses or a large-scale confrontation. This scenario is supported by the occupation's stalling attitude and lack of desire to reduce the severity of the siege; along with the involvement with Egypt and the PA in exerting pressure on the Gaza Strip.
2. The resistance exerts pressure on the occupation through large-scale military work that includes firing rockets that would result in a confrontation. The fact that the closure has continued and the occupation is determined not to make any facilitations or concessions are factors that support this.

Generally, all scenarios are possible; whether controlled or uncontrolled engagement. However, the resistance and the occupation will delay and postpone the confrontation as long as possible. Therefore, the events depend on which party makes the first move first.