The Israeli occupation has been going through an active diplomatic campaign since last week. It aims at mobilizing the world's support to confront Iran and its nuclear program. Yair Lapid, the occupation's foreign minister, took use of the campaign by visiting Washington and meeting the elite officials in the US administration, mainly, Kamala Harris, vice president of the United States; Jake Sullivan, the national security advisor of the US; Nancy Pelosi, the chief of the US House of Representatives, and other leaders of the Democratic party.

Yair Lapid's visit to the United States received special attention. He met the Foreign Minister of the UAE, and held a Tripartite Summit (US, Israeli, UAE) during which he confirmed the importance of putting an alternative plan for the state of negotiations and American diplomacy with Iran.

In parallel with Lapid's visit, the Israeli occupation's government announced that PM Neftali Bennett will flight to Moscow, Russia's capital, next Friday to hold a summit meeting with Vladimir Putin, the president of Russia, and a number of Russian leaders to discuss several security and political issues, mainly the Iranian nuclear program and the importance of limiting Iran's passions to have a nuclear technology. 

Analysis and Insight

• The Israeli occupation's efforts to mobilize the world public opinion and the major Powers against Iran come within the context of the state of animosity with Iran, and the desire to undermine its abilities of having a nuclear technology. 
• A big part of Israel's animosity towards Iran is because of its ongoing support for the resistance in Palestine, Lebanon and Syria, which are considered as areas of friction for the Israeli occupation. Also, the Israeli occupation fears the appearance of a competitive force in the region.
• The US administration deals with the extremist Israeli demands and the political imperative imposed by the US's strategic interests in the region and the world in a balanced manner.
• The US administration's approach during the terms of Presidents Donald Trump and Joseph Biden have varied. Trump's term was marked by the US administration's stepping out of the traditional lines and the use of a blunt policy in dealing with enemies and allies. Hence, Biden's term returned the usual diplomatic US approach.
• The Israeli occupation seeks to practice the highest possible level of diplomatic pressure on the great forces in order to achieve its plans and goals.
• The Israeli occupation well realizes that carrying out any military operations against Iran will cost a lot as the results might become out of control. Thus, he seeks to build a special network to support this option.
• Israel's attention towards Russia and the socialist countries, which are competitors of the United States, does not seem to deviate from the prevailing situation that is reflected by the occupation's connection with the United States. Accordingly, the occupation's efforts are to strengthen the state of political support in a way that that does not oppose the serious occupation's connection with the US. 
• The Israeli diplomatic movement is going through a light state of competition among the Israeli political system's leaders, as each part pursues to market itself as a new leader that is able to represent the Israeli occupation after Netanyahu's lengthy term.

Situation Report

Based on the abovementioned, the possible scenarios are:

1. The Israeli occupation's efforts might lead to build a lobbying network against Iran, led by the United States, the European Union, and some of the major Powers. Hence, that would distract the Iranian Republic, and increase the political and economic costs. This scenario is supported by the state of global diplomatic discipline regarding Iran, and the ongoing desire to reach a solution that guarantees the return to the previous agreement.
2. The Israeli occupation might succeed in its incitement campaign against Iran, and in pushing the major Powers to direct a military strike or a state of pressure. This might lead to confrontations between Iran and its enemies in the region, including the Israeli occupation and the Gulf. This scenario seems to be weak, yet possible amid Iran's collision with its enemies in the region.

Generally, it is expected that the international efforts will continue to reach a diplomatic solution with Iran in a way that does not follow the Jewish efforts seeking to push the United States and the major Powers to confront with Iran. The American statements can also be read as 'a storm in a teacup;' they seem to prepare for a war without a real intention to start a war in order to silence the Israeli demands. Accordingly, no military operations will be carried out nor real changes in the sentencing policy towards Iran will happen.