Israeli media sources reported that the former PM Benjamin Netanyahu is nearing a plea deal with the Public Prosecution of the Israeli occupation to drop off his bribery charge in return for proving his other charges of fraud and breach of trust. This will acquire Netanyahu an exit of limited extent of damage and light sentences so he does not go the jail.

According to the new deal, Netanyahu is expected to be sentenced to public service for three months, to resign from his membership in the Knesset and to refrain from working in the civil service for a limited period of time. Even though the final draft of the deal is not finished yet, the current terms of the deal generated a state of anger and questioning of the Israeli judicial system as it has become an umbrella of protection for the corrupters. 

Due to the current deal's term that Netanyahu might resign from the Knesset, it is expected that the Likud Party and the Israeli government start a new phase; a "quake" that would shake the Israeli political scene, as the experts of the Israeli affairs call. This quake might result from the Likud's dilemma in choosing its new leader amid the competition of a numerous number of leaders.

The battle of the succession of Netanyahu is mainly led by Nir Barakat, Israel Katz, Yuli Edelshtein, Miri Regev and Gilad Erdan who consider them themselves as possible successors after Netanyahu. On the other hand, the non-preference of the Likud for one of those nominees will worsen the state of division within the party amid the dispersed loyalties and alliances. As a result, this would be an element weakening the party in the next phase.

At the level of the governmental coalition that adopted the downfall of Netanyahu, it will certainly lose its main reason to do so. Accordingly, the right-wing parties taking part in the government might return again for the coalition with the new Likud amid the serious state of inequality between them and the other lift and middle wing parties.

Analysis and Insight of the Scene

• If this deal was signed, it would be a great victory for Netanyahu who could get out of the big cave of charges with light losses and sentences.
• This deal will generate a state of outrage within the Israeli community which awaited harsh sentences for Netanyahu following his predecessors such as Ehud Olmert and Moshe Katzav. therefore, several Israeli leaders expressed their anger, mainly Ehud Barak who described it as "free gift for corruption."
• The Israeli Public Prosecution justified the deal as to shorten the time spent on this case as that its prolongation will not make other results important. It also claimed that closing the case now is better than spending several years in vain. 
• Netanyahu's absence from leading the Likud Party will generate a state of sharp competition among the party's leaders on his position.
• The stability of the Likud party might lead to a new process for the coalition of the right-wing party, particularly that the problem was in Netanyahu not in the Likud and its other leaders.

Situation Report: Based on the aforementioned analysis of the scene, the expected scenarios can be as follows:

1. The repercussions of Netanyahu's deal and his withdrawal from the political scene might only affect the Likud Party, not the current governmental coalition. This scenario is supported by the state of fragmentation among several historical leaders within the party.
2. The repercussions of Netanyahu's deal might also affect the current governmental coalition led by Bennett. What supports this scenario is the melting of the bases that established the coalition, the disharmony between the right leaders and the lift and middle ones, and that the compatibility between the right parties and the Likud, Yahudat HaTora and Shas will be more realistic. 

In General, the first scenario is more likely to happen in the immediate future, as there are expectations that the Likud Party will not be able to recover soon after Netanyahu's departure. Also, it is expected that the current coalition might last in the coming period of time with its weak form until the rearrangement of the inner conditions of the Likud and its return to compete for the leadership of the right votes anew.