Yedioth Ahronoth – Adapted

Three main factors were cited by Intelligence Division officials when they discussed the rise in the likelihood of war: the first was what Iran and Hezbollah perceived as American weakness in the region and a clear reduction in the level of intervention; the second was the crisis between Washington and Israel, with a focus on the tense relations between President Joe Biden and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu; and the third was the rise in tensions between the United States and Israel. The third factor is the perilous social division in Israeli society, which likewise sent the Israeli army into a tumult.
In items 2 and 3, we can see how things have gotten worse recently. On the American side, one should be concerned about the peculiar interview President Biden gave to CNN in which he claimed that the present Israeli administration is the most radical he has ever seen while dodging the query of whether he will soon extend an invitation to Netanyahu to visit the White House.
We observe a resurgence of the protests in response to the internal crises, and this week has only begun: No one is happier with these events than Hezbollah Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah. In the two days close to schedule, large demonstrations are expected, and in addition to them, renewed appeals for non-compliance with the reserve service are heard. There are vivid skirmishes between Hezbollah and Israel after Hezbollah erected tents along the borders.
Israel disapproves of the fait accompli approach. Does it maintain diplomatic ties, or does it use force to evacuate and risk conflict? Any smallest fire will flare up the situation when the north is this volatile.