The warning messages the Palestinian resistance sends to the Israeli occupation have notably increased recently due to its delay to lift the Gaza blockade and to allow starting the reconstruction process of the destroyed buildings in Operation Al-Quds Sword last May. Those messages began with several maneuvers by Al-Qassam Brigades in the 34th anniversary of Hamas, in addition to another central maneuver for the Joint Chamber of the Palestinian resistance that is being expected to be held in the upcoming days.
The Palestinian resistance's warnings are not only about the Gaza blockade and the reconstruction process, yet extend to include other essential issues. It warned the Israeli occupation not to attack Al-Masjid Al-Aqsa, target Al-Quds' neighborhoods, or repress the prisoners in the Israeli prisons, lest it will re-escalate the situations again in Gaza and West Bank.
On the other side, the Israeli occupation only accepts to respond to the Palestinian resistance's demands; to provide political facilitations, ease the reconstruction process and allow building huge economic projects, if it released the Israeli soldiers captivated in Gaza. However, the Palestinian resistance refuses those conditions, and warns that it is losing patience and that the Israeli captives will not be released unless the Palestinian prisoners are freed.
Within the same context, the Egyptian mediator informed the resistance leadership that its pursuit to break out the situations in the West Bank will lead to an Israeli military operation against Gaza, including the assassination of Palestinian resistance leaders. He also noted that the more the situations in the West Bank become tense, the more pressure will be imposed on Gaza and its resistance leadership.
Analysis and Insight of the Scene:
- The Israeli occupation continues to delay implementing its commitments of the agreement that was signed after the recent Israeli aggression in May, and Egypt keeps postponing the start of the reconstruction process.
- Throughout its ongoing threats to escalate, the Palestinian resistance seeks to move the parties of the agreement to proceed with its implementation. Thus, those rhetoric threats are an introduction to more ruthless steps, such the people resistance and the rockets-dripping policy.
- Throughout its maneuvers following its threatening texts, the Palestinian resistance sends letters to the relevant parties to inform them of its readiness to start a confrontation if needed and that it will not allow the reconstruction process to remain being delayed.
- The Palestinian resistance does not currently seek to enter a wide-scale confrontation with the Israeli occupation. Instead, it might only use rough ways of resistance, such as the night confusion activities to disturb the occupation.
Possible Scenarios:
- Frictions might continue between the Palestinian resistance and the Israeli occupation in a way that could inspire a limited escalation from a while to another; not a real wide-scale one. What supports this scenario is the insistence of both parties on their conditions and the increase of factors causing tension, such as the ongoing Israeli blockade imposed on Gaza, the arbitrary attacks against the prisoners and the growing resistance acts in the West Bank.
- The threatening letters might stay rhetoric that does not amount to a real confrontation. This scenario is supported by the growing state of tension between the resistance and occupation and the increasing factors that lead to escalations.
In general, the first scenario represented in the increase of tension is more logical and realistic amid the possibility of the break out of the situations in the West Bank due to the Israeli pressures practiced against the Palestinians, and the pursuit of the Palestinian resistance to disclose the occupation's crimes and to force it to commit to its obligations.