Consequences of Israel's Assassinations against Iran

Jun 15, 2022 12:29 pm

Situation Report by PALM Strategic

The past weeks witnessed a series of assassinations against several Iranian military leaders, and scientists in the field of nuclear energy and development of rockets. Since the middle of last May, Colonel Hasan Sayyad Khada'e, one of the leaders of Al-Quds Force who was accused by the occupation of leading Unit 840 specialized in targeting the Israelis abroad, and Colonel Ali Ismail Zadeh from the same unit, were assassinated. In addition, numerous accusations of implementing silent killings chased the scientist Ayyoub Entizari, the officials of the development of rockets and airplanes, as well as Dr. and the nuclear expert Kamran Malbour. 

Even though no one formally declared those assassinations, they were silently and indirectly carried out by the Israeli occupation and its arm "the Mossad". Sources in the US Foreign Ministry reported that the Israeli occupation informed it of its responsibility for the assassinations of Colonel Hasan Khada'e, whereas some Israeli official accounts and statements adopted Israel's responsibility for the assassinations insidiously. 

In light of the escalation state, the increasing Iranian threats to revenge for the killing of their leaders and scientists and the accusation of the Israeli occupation of their direct responsibility for those assassinations, the Israeli occupation increased its warning for its citizens outside the Israeli occupation, especially in Turkey whose security forces announced the frustration of an Iranian security activity targeted the assassination and abduction of Israeli citizens on its land. Yet, the Israeli security organization still discusses the possibility of raising the alarm in the United States to the 4th level as well.

Analysis and Insight of the Sight
• The silent battle between the Israeli occupation and Iran continues in light of the occupation's pursuit to prevent Iran from reaching the nuclear and military technology that disorders the balance of military superiority in the Middle East. 
• During the past years, Iran suffered from a series of special operations that targeted leaders, scientists, research centers and military systems inside and outside its lands. 
• The Israeli occupation well realizes that its special operations against Iran might trigger Iranian reactions that target Israeli persons along the world map. 
• Iran truly announces that it is proceeding in developing its military program, considering it as a national interest and that any attack on its citizens or systems is an attack on the country itself.

Possible Scenarios: based on the analysis and reading of the scene, it is expected that:
1. The intensity of the special operations between Iran and the Israeli occupation might increase in a way that causes mutual targets at an accelerated and influential pace. What supports this scenario is Israel's insistence on targeting Iran and its military and scientific capabilities, particularly those related to its nuclear program and the persons engaged in those programs, as well as Iran's determination to move forward in its projects and its implication to harshly respond to the occupation.
2. The pace of the military and security operations between Iran and the Israeli occupation might decrease in a way that parallels the reaching of a nuclear agreement between Iran and the Great Powers. This scenario is supported by the ongoing efforts and announcement of huge breakthroughs in the Iranian nuclear discussions. 

In general, all scenarios are present; yet the preference is given to the first scenario that is connected to the current time and the continuity of security and military attraction between the two bodies soon. However, there is a possibility of moving into the 2nd scenario in case the nuclear discussions developed and the occupation practices against Iran declined.