The Arab countries are racing to normalize with the Israeli occupation in exchange for some privileges their leaders believe are difficult to attain without making normalization deals with the power existing in the Middle East and looking after the American interests. Nevertheless, these countries will only be met with further decline at all levels.

Insight of the Situation

The Arab-Israeli normalization wave came at the same time of other dangers that are worrying the occupation at political and military levels. The southern front, represented by the Gaza Strip, comes first in threatening the Israeli security. Then, the Iranian expansion in the Arab world, Iran’s attempts to attain a nuclear bomb and the northern front, represented by the Lebanese Hezbollah. Although the occupation does not focus much on the Iran-supported party, it is still  very cautious at all times and places regardless of the limited possibility of dangers coming from it.

Benny Gantz, occupation’s Minister of Defense, travelled to the USA and said that his visit was to discuss a security issue. He also said, “Our enemies in the north and the south are restless, and will not be so neither now nor later. We will continue to protect the citizens of ‘Israel’. We will continue to stop our enemies, to harm their reinforcement activities, and we will be ready for any battle”.

In addition, Aviv Kochavi, Chief of Staff of the occupation’s army, stated to the units maneuvering at the northern front, “Beware! This happens suddenly!” Referring to the calm that preceded the Tripartite Aggression in 1956 and the Naksa in 1967. These were years of relative military calm. However, the 1967 War decision was suddenly made. Kochavi means that the decision of a new aggression could suddenly be made. He also stressed the importance of having the ground troops advancing during the aggression.

The matter that keeps reality in check is the occupation’s maneuvers in the northern front amidst careful calm in the southern front (the Gaza Strip), which indicates a heated escalation occurring soon, especially considering the occupation’s deceptive nature.

This remains bound to the PA’s President Mahmoud Abbas’ position and seriousness about issuing a presidential decree for the legislative and presidential elections. Such matter would turn the West Bank on fire against the occupation, which will lose its grip on the internal and southern fronts.

Expected Scenarios

• The occupation’s warplanes suddenly strike one of the military members of the resistance in the coming months, which would fuel an unprecedented aggression, one that is fiercer than ever. Although it would not last for a long time, it will result in huge damage for the resistance.
• The occupation facilitates the implementation of aid projects in the Strip and allows the entry of Qatari grants to silence the occupation to a certain extent, but it would not last for long.
• A prisoners’ swap deal is carried out between the Palestinian resistance and the occupation; one that is followed by a surprising aggression on the Strip.

The first scenario is the one most probably to happen since it is the closest to the field.