U.S. President Donald Trump, in coordination with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is moving toward imposing new strategic arrangements in the region following what they both consider “historic achievements” that require a reconfiguration of the political, security, and military landscape across the surrounding geopolitical environment.

These arrangements are designed to secure Israeli superiority and safeguard long-term American strategic interests—an approach Netanyahu has been pursuing since October 7, 2023, as he repeatedly affirms his intention to “reshape the entire Middle East.”

A ceasefire in Gaza, as a prelude to ending the ongoing genocide in its current form, appears to be one of the manifestations of this broader strategy, which includes a larger project regarding the Palestinian context:
    •    The establishment of a new authority in Gaza with a Palestinian façade, under American, regional, and Arab oversight (including the UAE, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Jordan), tasked with completing the dismantling of the resistance in Gaza.
    •    Rebuilding Gaza to accommodate no more than 50% of its pre-war population, based on urban planning that expands the security buffer zones around Israeli settlements bordering the Strip—potentially taking up at least 20% of Gaza’s total area.
    •    Annexation of vast areas of the West Bank—possibly up to 60%—including settlements, bypass roads, and areas designated by the Israeli government as military zones or nature reserves.

Beyond the Palestinian issue, regional arrangements are also being considered, most notably:
    •    Expanding the circle of normalization with Israel, with a new list of states potentially joining. Saudi Arabia tops the list, followed by Lebanon, Oman, Indonesia, and potential security arrangements with Syria.
    •    Disarming Hezbollah in Lebanon, converting it into a purely political party, and fully integrating Iraq’s Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) into the official Iraqi security institutions—or pressuring them to dismantle their military structures.
    •    Eliminating Iran’s ability to enrich uranium or maintain any connection to military nuclear programs, along with reducing its ballistic and hypersonic missile capabilities.

Both President Trump and Netanyahu aim to accomplish most of these steps—particularly increasing the number of Arab and Islamic countries normalizing ties with Israel—before the end of this year, with some steps continuing into next year.

This would serve Netanyahu’s political goals ahead of the upcoming elections and reinforce his personal legacy among former Israeli leaders, while also advancing Trump’s ambition to win the Nobel Peace Prize.

It’s worth noting, however, that this American-Israeli scenario assumes stability in the Israeli political scene, as well as in the Arab, Islamic, and even American environments. Therefore, this scenario may be partially implemented, face significant obstacles, or even be entirely derailed by regional or global changes.