The occupation is currently facing political, military and health crises. At a political level, the third round of elections was not conclusive as the Left and Right parties still remain incapable of forming a government. While the Right won 59 seats, the Left won 55 only; therefore, neither of them can form a government that can run the country the right way.

As for the health crisis, in ‘Israel’ COVID-19 virus (also known as Coronavirus) has spread the past few days, and the number of the infected rose to 60 patients. As a result, Benjamin Netanyahu, the current PM, approved the decision to isolate arrivals for 14 days until it is definite that they are not infected.

A third crisis the occupation is now facing is the military plan which was set by Aviv Kochavi, the occupation Army Chief of Staff. This Plan “Tnufa" (momentum in Hebrew) requires an increase in the budget allocated by the Ministry of Finance, which has rejected it since it is expensive. Nevertheless, this Plan can improve the capacity of the army and train them on fast termination of their rivals.

Insight of the Situation  

The political crisis the occupation is facing is unprecedented since the beginning of the Israeli occupation in 1948. This shows the weakness of the current Israeli public in comparison with the founding one, which was mostly Leftist. The Lefties, now however, are weak and incapable of running the governmental institutions, especially the judicial authorities which are stalling Netanyahu’s trial for bribery.

At a different level, it will be difficult for the parties to form a government in ‘Israel’. Benny Gantz, Former Chief of General Staff of the Israel Defense Forces and Head of Kahol Levan, secretly asked the Arab Joint List to secretly support him. However, Ahmed Al-Taibi, the Head of the List, refused undertaking it in secret.

Doing it publicly, however, is difficult for Gantz as it will cost him some of his supporters. Then, some of the parties which are in the Kahol Levan alliance and are against the agreement with the Joint List will withdraw and probably join the Right. As a result, Gantz position is weakened and Netanyahu’s is strengthened. In this case, Gantz will have lost at all levels, and his Bloc may even dissolve should he enter a fourth round of elections.

A possible scenario is Netanyahu’s formation of a narrow government, but it will not be able to carry out its duties entirely hence worsening the crisis. They will mostly carry out a fourth round of elections as useless as its precedents.

Another possible scenario is Netanyahu remaining in control until the Transitional Government’s term is over - that is next October, 2020 –should Netanyahu and Gantz not form a strong government. It is most likely that Netanyahu will enter a serious confrontation with the Palestinian resistance in order to push the need for an emergency government to lead the battle, and, of course, him in control.

Regarding the health crisis, Netanyahu has approved sending arrivals to isolation for 14 days. This will embarrass ‘Israel’ among its friends whose joint work depends on trade and tourism. In addition, it will lose millions in the tourism sector, which is vital to the Israeli economy.

This health crisis has also led to a delay in the execution of the army’s plans with other countries which together will carry out military training and maneuvers. The Israeli Chief of the General Staff issued a decision that soldiers must not shake hands with one another in order to prevent the virus from spreading among them. Some of the soldiers who had participated in training and maneuvers abroad with countries such as Italy were sent to quarantine. As a result, the psychology of the Israeli soldiers has become more unstable.