The Israeli occupation unleashed yesterday a sudden military operation on Gaza, calling it the “True Dawn.” It started it with the assassination of many resistance leaders, most notably Tayseer Al-Jaabari, Head of Islamic Jihad.

This Israeli offensive has -so far- resulted in 15 Palestinians martyred and more than 80 wounded, the majority of them are civilians, women and children. There is a possibility that the number of victims increase amid the continuation of this Israeli aggressive operation.

While the Israeli occupation and the resistance factions announce that there are no talks about a ceasefire until now, the Egyptian efforts continue to reach an immediate truce.

Analysis and Insight of the Scene:

• This Israeli operation comes as a preemptive strike against the Palestinian Resistance to burden it with heavy losses, as a part of the occupation’s aggressive operations against the Palestinians.
• The Palestinian Resistance appears in an unprecedented state of unity in confronting the occupation aggression, making it more efficient.
• There is a state of operational retreat by both the Israeli occupation and the Palestinian Resistance since the start of the Israeli operation and the following hours. This predicts the possibility to reach a ceasefire in hours or few days.

Expected Scenarios:

1. The extent of the military confrontation between the Israeli occupation and the Palestinian Resistance might end during a short period of time and there is a possibility to reach a ceasefire during hours or a few days. What supports this scenarios is the retreat in the extent of the military operation and the start of the Egyptian diplomatic work to reach a ceasefire.
2. The limited Israeli military operations might expand in a way that transfers it to a wider military operation. This scenario is supported by the unexpected actions that might take place, making the field hard to control.

In general, all scenarios remain present, yet the first scenario is preferred amid the reservation state adopted by the occupation and the Resistance not to go through a wide military operation and the continued efforts exerted by Egypt to reach a ceasefire. Thus, this makes the end of this escalation soon.